The state weather bureau warns on Thursday that strong El Niño is expected to intensify to a "very strong" category towards the end of the year.

In a press conference, Nathaniel Servando, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) administrator said a strong El Niño is expected to intensify between September–December and potentially persist through the first half of 2027.

"A strong El Niño is present in the tropical Pacific and based on the current outlook it is likely to become very strong during the last quarter of the year," he said.

"This situation needs to be taken seriously particularly because of its potential impacts on rainfall and water resources," he added.

Pagasa explained that for the Philippines, El Nino may bring warmer temperatures and below-normal rainfall, increasing risk of dry spells, drought, and water supply stress that could affect agriculture, food security, energy, public health, and the economy.

Servando said that based on their projection dry conditions will be felt in 45 provinces while eight provinces will experience drought.

"Starting in October next month more provinces may experience reduced rainfall and prolonged conditions. In fact about 45 provinces based on our projections will experience dry conditions and eight provinces will experience drought conditions, not only in October but as we progress towards the remaining part of this year," he said.

"Based on our forecast, the strong El Nino will continue or extend after the first half of 2027," he added.

However, Pagasa stressed that El Niño does not mean that rain will completely stop.

"The ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) and active tropical cyclones may still bring short-term heavy rainfall, particularly over the western sections of the country," it stated.

The state weather bureau advises the public to "prepare for prolonged dryness, but remain vigilant for episodes of heavy rainfall."

Science and Technology Secretary Renato Solidum Jr. urged local government units and key sectors to take proactive, data-driven action well before the full impact of the climate event is felt.

"Climate information must be utilized before a crisis strikes," said Solidum.

"Adjusting farming schedules and preparing communities, infrastructure, and essential services early is vital. DOST-PAGASA has developed localized climate projections and CliMap, allowing users to access historical data and localized projections down to the municipal level to support long-term adaptation," he added. Robina Asido/PHS